Gremio's season has been a disaster so far. They are currently in second-to-last place in the table, with only one win to their credit. They do, however, have a strong head-to-head record against America MG, and will be hoping for a narrow victory this weekend.
America are currently on a losing streak, with only the dead-last placed Chapecoense conceding more goals in the Brazilian top flight this season.
It's worth noting that they've also been one of the poorest teams in Serie A on the road, with a 100 percent losing record in such games, excluding one match-up.
Meanwhile, despite a poor start to the season, Gremio won their first game this week, and it was against Fluminense, a dangerous opponent.
They will now try to add three more points to their tally, and they will take comfort in the knowledge that they are playing at home and have a solid head-to-head record against this opponent.
Their opponents, on the other hand, are on a three-game losing streak and have failed to score in all three games. They have also lost five of their previous six road trips.
Taking these factors into account, particularly Gremio's h2h superiority, anticipate them to win. However, given their recent offensive struggles, expect only a close victory this Saturday.
Prediction: we predict 2.5 under in this match
Tip: 2.5 Under
